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	<title>Lateral Thinking &#187; housing deflation</title>
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		<title>HOUSING MARKET: Elusive bottom</title>
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		<comments>http://www.lateralthinking.biz/housing-market-elusive-bottom.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 08:00:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mvalls</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing deflation]]></category>

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var addthis_config = {"data_track_clickback":true};</script><script type="text/javascript" src="http://s7.addthis.com/js/250/addthis_widget.js#pubid=wp-4f2e4de10871547f"></script><div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.lateralthinking.biz/housing-market-elusive-bottom.html' addthis:title='HOUSING MARKET: Elusive bottom'  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div>   U.S. housing prices are in the midst of a decline that may last for years, according to Robert J. Shiller, a finance professor at Yale University. Shiller, who helped create home-price indexes bearing his name, wrote in a New York Times story yesterday that declines in real estate tend to be relatively long-lasting. As an [...]<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_32x32_style" addthis:url='http://www.lateralthinking.biz/housing-market-elusive-bottom.html' addthis:title='HOUSING MARKET: Elusive bottom' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></description>
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<p> U.S. housing prices are in the midst of a decline that may last for years, according to <a onmouseover="return escape( popwSearchNews( this ))" href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Robert+J.%0AShiller&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Robert J. Shiller</a>, a finance professor at Yale University.</p>
<p>Shiller, who helped create home-price indexes bearing his name, wrote in a New York Times story yesterday that declines in real estate tend to be relatively long-lasting. As an example, he mentioned land prices in Japan’s major cities, which fell for 15 straight years after a 1980s housing bubble burst.</p>
<p>Less than three years have passed since the Standard &amp; Poor’s/Case-Shiller indexes of U.S. home prices peaked. The S&amp;P/ Case-Shiller <a onmouseover="return escape( popwQuoteShort( this, 'SPCAUSA:IND' ))" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPCAUSA%3AIND">national index</a> has fallen 32 percent from a high in the second quarter of 2006.</p>
<p>“Prices may continue to fall, or stagnate, in 2010 and 2011,” Shiller.</p>
<p>Shiller’s article followed an estimate by T2 Partners LLC, a hedge fund, that the national index will hit bottom in mid- 2010 after dropping 40 percent to 50 percent from its high.</p>
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