Greece default

CLOCK IS TICKING…

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The yield on 10-year Greek bonds rose to 7.15 percent yesterday, the highest level since October 1999 and up from 4.99 percent on Nov. 30. The yield is more than 3.9 percentage points higher than benchmark German bunds, the biggest gain since October 1998.

The nation’s government bonds are the world’s worst performers in January, losing 4.19 percent in local currency terms and extending their decline over the past three months to 10 percent, Bloomberg/EFFAS indexes show. Credit-default swaps tied to Greece trade at about the same levels as Dubai when it got a $10 billion bailout from Abu Dhabi in December.

The cost of insuring the country’s debt against losses rose to a record yesterday, with credit-default swaps jumping 40 basis points, or 0.4 percentage point, to 414, CMA DataVision prices show.

The swaps have risen from 121.8 basis points in October, and compare with 433.4 basis points for Dubai in the weeks before it received cash from Abu Dhabi on Dec. 14 !!!

“I am not sure that a Greek default is inevitable, but the clock is ticking with regard to difficult policy choices,” said Marc Seidner , a portfolio manager at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach.

“Any financial aid from other European nations would be conditional upon the government introducing new measures to clean up its public finances”, Le Monde said. Help would consist of bilateral loans from European governments in the absence of a mechanism for a euro-region bailout, the newspaper said.

Portugal and Spain, watch out !!!

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